Scientists have shown which stars these craft will pass by millions of years after
the vehicles stop working...
Spacecraft that launched from Earth in the 1970s are still traveling on trajectories
that led them out of our solar system and beyond. In a new study, scientists have
predicted the future of these spacecraft, determining which stars the vehicles will
pass, and how close they will get to these stars, within the next few million years.
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On March 2, 1972, NASA launched its Pioneer 10 spacecraft, which would become the
first craft to travel through the asteroid belt. About a year later, Pioneer 11 took
flight. And in 1977, NASA's Voyager 2 spacecraft launched, with Voyager 1 following
behind a few weeks later. These spacecraft, in addition to NASA's New Horizons probe,
are the only spacecraft ever launched that are capable of reaching interstellar space.
So far, Voyager 1 and Voyager 2 have broken through that barrier. However, if they
continue on, Pioneer 10, Pioneer 11 and NASA's New Horizons craft are all expected
to leave the sun's sphere of influence, called the heliosphere, and continue
exploring through the interstellar medium. Eventually, these spacecraft will run
out of power and "die"; their science equipment will stop working, and they will
stop communicating. In fact, Pioneer 10 and Pioneer 11 sent their last transmissions
in 2003 and 1995, respectively. Though these craft can no longer transmit signals
to Earth, researchers have figured out which stars the vehicles will pass long
after they cease to be operational.
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These calculations are tricky, because as these spacecraft travel away from Earth,
the cosmos around them move, too. Coryn A. L. Bailer-Jones, of the Max Planck
Institute for Astronomy in Germany, and Davide Farnocchia, of the Center for Near
Earth Object Studies at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory in California, have found
the spacecraft's destinations by using the 3D positions and 3D velocities of 7.2
million stars that were included in the second data release from the Gaia space
observatory's survey of over 1 billion stars.
In the new study, Bailer-Jones and Farnocchia calculated that the next star that
Voyager 1 will pass will be Earth's nearest stellar neighbor, Proxima Centauri,
in 16,700 years. However, this encounter will be unremarkable, as the craft's
closest approach will be 1.1 parsecs (pc) from the star, which equates to 3.59
light-years — very, very far away. In fact, Voyager 1 is currently 1.3 pc (4.24
light-years) from the star, so this encounter won't be much closer than the craft's
current location is. (Earth's sun is 1.29 pc, or 4.24 light-years, away from
Proxima Centauri.)
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Voyager 2 and Pioneer 11's next close encounters will also be with Proxima Centauri,
while Pioneer 10's next flyby will be with the star Ross 248, a small star 10.3
light-years from Earth in the constellation Andromeda. These distant encounters
might not generate excitement. But Bailer-Jones and Farnocchia predicted other
future flybys in which the spacecraft will get remarkably close to stars outside
our solar system. For example, Voyager 1 will get very close to the star TYC
3135-52-1, a star located about 46.9 light-years from our sun, in 302,700 years.
The craft will pass within 0.30 pc, just under a light-year — so close that the
spacecraft might penetrate the star's Oort cloud, which is a shell of cosmic
objects that surround a star past its planets, if it has one, Bailer-Jones told
Space.com in an email.
Additionally, the researchers found that Voyager 1 will swing close, within 0.39
pc (1.27 light-years), of Gaia DR2 2091429484365218432, a star that lies a whopping
159.5 pc (520.22 light-years) from the sun. To give you an idea of how close the
approach is, we are 1.29 pc (4.24 light-years) away from Proxima Centauri. They
predicted that the craft will pass close to this faraway star in 3.4 million years.
Bailer-Jones told Space.com that this research was inspired by the team's previous
work to trace the possible origins and future destinations of the mysterious
interstellar object dubbed 'Oumuamua. "It was mostly a bit of fun," Bailer-Jones
told Space.com. "But it also reminds us how long it takes to get to nearby stars
at the kind of speeds these spacecraft have achieved (around 15 km/s relative to
the sun). "It also highlights that the closest encounters, because they can be
tens or hundreds of thousands of years in the future, can be with stars which
are not among the nearest stars to the sun right now," Bailer-Jones continued.
"Also, if we want to explore the nearest stars within a human lifetime, we need
to accelerate our spacecraft to much higher velocities."